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Netanyahu Lacks Clear Path To Victory With 97% of Votes Counted

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  • The majority of votes in Israel’s election have already been counted, showing that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu lacks the numbers he needs to outright form a government.
  • His coalition has 59 of a needed 61 seats in the legislature to form a government while opposition parties are within striking distance of gaining a majority if certain parties can figure out a way to work together.
  • Despite the opposition having a chance at victory, the most likely outcome is that the coalition headed by Netanyahu works out a deal with the pro-Arab Ra’am to form a government.
  • Ra’am has worked with the pro-Netanyahu coalition in the past on legislation in return for concessions to Arab citizens, and such a deal may solidify further pro-Arab policies.

No Clear Winners

Israel held its fourth election in two years on Tuesday, which has been proven to be an extremely close race. As of Wednesday afternoon, about 97% of the votes have been counted, and they show inconclusive results.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc, which is made up of a wide coalition of parties, is just shy of the 61-seats needed to form a majority in the Knesset to make a government. Netanyahu’s own Likud party actually did very well and crushed all the other parties by double digits numbers. That victory was marred, however, by the fact that it was actually a worse performance than their results last March, and the party’s lowest turnout since 2015.

Yet, even with that, Likud’s coalition only has 59 seats after the Yamina party decided to join it Wednesday morning. The opposition, for its part, is also within striking distance of making a government, depending on how these five scenarios play out.

  • If no majority government is formed, there will be the fifth round of elections since 2019 and leaving Netanyahu as interim-Prime Minister.
  • The centrist Yesh Atid could attempt to form a government with a center-right Sa’ar, a party made-up of former members of Netanyahu’s own party. Although, this is unlikely as Sa’ar lawmakers vowed to never work with any government back by Arab parties, which this coalition would have to do.
  • Sa’ar could join Netanyahu’s government, another unlikely prospect as this is the first election Sa’ar ran in apart from Likud and has vowed to not work with the Prime Minister.
  • The leader of the right-wing Yamina party could double-cross and join the opposition for the price of becoming Prime Minister — an unlikely prospect
  • There is also the possibility that the Netanyahu coalition manages to convince Ra’am, which is a pro-Arab party, to join its ranks.

Unlikely Partners

At first glance, a Likud-Ra’am partnership seems unlikely. That’s because Netanyahu and many of the parties in his coalition have been criticized as an increasingly apartheid-like government, which puts all of them in an awkward position working with each other, particularly for Ra’am. However, Likud and Ra’am have all worked together in the past on some legislation in return for legislation that helps the Arab population.

With the election seemingly so close, final results won’t be known until the Central Elections Committee presents the formal results on March 31st. After that, President Reuven Rivlin will begin to ask the various parties how they can form a new government; a process that can take until about the end of April before it fails and he asks a different member of the legislature to form a government.

If no one can form a government, new elections will be called and be the fifth in just a few years.

See What Others Are Saying: (Haaretz) (Jerusalem Post) (NPR)

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U.K. Court Rules Julian Assange Can Be Extradited to U.S.

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The judgment overrules a lower court decision that blocked the WikiLeaks founder’s extradition on the grounds that his mental health was not stable enough to weather harsh conditions in the American prison system if convicted.


New Developments in Assange Extradition Battle

A British court ruled Friday that WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange can be extradited to the United States to face charges of violating the Espionage Act that could land him in prison for decades.

Prosecutors in the U.S. have accused Assange of conspiring with former army intelligence analyst Chelsea Manning in 2010 to hack into a Department of Defense computer network and access thousands of military and diplomatic records on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

The information obtained in the hack was later published by WikiLeaks in 2010 and 2011, a move U.S. authorities allege put lives in danger.

In addition to a charge of computer misuse, Assange has also been indicted on 17 espionage charges. Collectively, the charges carry a maximum prison sentence of 175 years.

The Friday decision from the High Court overturns a lower court ruling in January, which found that Assange’s mental health was too fragile for the harsh environment he could face in the U.S. prison system if convicted.

Notably, the January ruling did not determine whether or not Assange was guilty. In fact, District Judge Vanessa Baraitser explicitly rejected the defense’s arguments that the charges against him were politically motivated and that he should be protected under freedom of press.

However, she agreed that the defense had provided compelling evidence that Assange suffers from severe depression and that the conditions he could face in the U.S. prison system were “such that it would be oppressive to extradite him to the United States of America.”

The U.S. appealed the ruling, arguing that Assange’s mental health should not be a barrier to extradition and that the psychiatrist who examined him had been biased. 

In October, the Biden administration vowed that if Assange were to be convicted, he would not be placed in the highest-security U.S. prison or immediately sent to solitary confinement. Officials also said that the native Australian would be eligible to serve his sentence in his home country.

High Court Ruling

The High Court agreed with the administration’s arguments in its ruling, arguing that the American’s assurances regarding the conditions of Assange’s potential incarceration were “sufficient.” 

“There is no reason why this court should not accept the assurances as meaning what they say,” the ruling stated. “There is no basis for assuming that the USA has not given the assurances in good faith.”

Assange’s fiancé, Stella Moris, said in a statement that his legal team would appeal the decision to the British Supreme Court at the “earliest possible moment,” referring to the judgment as a “grave miscarriage of justice.”

The Supreme Court will now decide whether or not to hear the case based on if it believes the matter involves a point of law “of general public importance.” That decision may take weeks or even months.

If the U.K. Supreme Court court objects to hearing Assange’s appeal, he could ask the European Court of Human Rights to stay the extradition — a move that could set in motion another lengthy legal battle in the already drawn-out process.

Assange and his supporters claim he was acting as an investigative journalist when he published the classified military cables. They argue that the possibility of his extradition and prosecution represent serious threats to press freedoms in the U.S.

U.S. prosecutors dispute that Assange acted as a journalist, claiming that he encouraged illegal hacking for personal reasons.

See what others are saying: (The New York Times) (NPR) (The Washington Post)

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Early Data Indicates Omicron is More Transmissible But Less Severe

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The studies come as Pfizer and BioNTech claim that preliminary research shows a third shot of their COVID vaccine appears to provide sufficient protection against the new variant, but two doses alone may not.


More Information About Omicron

Several preliminary studies published in recent days appear to show that the new omicron COVID-19 variant may be more transmissible but less severe than previous strains.

One recent, un-peer-reviewed study by a Japanese scientist who advises the country’s health ministry found that omicron is four times more transmissible in its initial stage than delta was.

Preliminary information in countries hit hard by omicron also indicates high transmissibility. In South Africa —  where the variant was first detected and is already the dominant strain — new COVID cases have more than doubled over the last week.

Health officials in the U.K. said omicron cases are doubling every two or three days, and they expect the strain to become dominant in the country in a matter of weeks.

In a statement Wednesday, World Health Organization Director Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said that while early data does seem to show high transmissibility, it also indicates that omicron causes more mild cases than delta.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevent Director Rochelle Walensky echoed that sentiment, telling reporters that of the 40 known omicron cases in the U.S. as of Wednesday, nearly all of them were mild. One person has been hospitalized so far and none have died.

Studies on Vaccine Efficacy 

Other recent studies have shown that current COVID vaccines are effective at preventing severe illness and death in omicron patients, and boosters provide at least some added protection.

On Wednesday, Pfizer and BioNTech announced that laboratory tests have shown a third dose of their COVID-19 vaccine appears to provide sufficient protection against the omicron variant, though two doses may not.

According to the companies, researchers saw a 25-fold reduction in neutralizing antibodies for omicron compared to other strains of the virus for people who had just two Pfizer doses. 

By contrast, samples from people one month after they had received a Pfizer booster presented neutralizing antibodies against omicron that were comparable to those seen against previous variants after two doses.

Still, Pfizer’s chief executive also told reporters later in the day that omicron could increase the likelihood that people might need a fourth dose earlier than previously expected, which he had initially said was 12 months after the third shot.

Notably, the Pfizer research has not yet been peer-reviewed, and it remains unclear how omicron will operate outside a lab, but other studies have had similar findings.

See what others are saying: (The New York Times) (Bloomberg) (NBC News)

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40 Camels Disqualified From Beauty Contest After Breeders Inject Their Faces With Botox

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The animals were barred from competing for $66 million in prizes at this year’s King Abdulaziz Camel Festival in Saudi Arabia.


Camels Booted From Beauty Contest

More than 40 camels were disqualified from a beauty contest in Saudi Arabia this week after judges found artificial enhancements in their faces, marking the biggest crackdown on contestants in the competition to date.

The animals were competing for $66 million in prizes at the King Abdulaziz Camel Festival, a month-long event that is estimated to include around 33,000 camels.

However, according to The Guardian, they were forced out of the contest when authorities found that breeders had “stretched out the lips and noses of the camels, used hormones to boost the animals’ muscles, injected heads and lips with Botox to make them bigger, inflated body parts with rubber bands, and used fillers to relax their faces.”

Those types of alterations are banned since judges look at the contestant’s heads, necks, humps, posture, and other features when evaluating them.

An announcement from the state-linked Saudi Press Agency said officials used “specialized and advanced” technology to detect tampering.

“The club is keen to halt all acts of tampering and deception in the beautification of camels,” the SPA report added before warning that organizers would “impose strict penalties on manipulators.”

While it’s unclear what that actually entails, this isn’t the first time people have tried to cheat in this way.

In 2018, 12 camels were similarly disqualified from the competition for injections in their noses, lips, and jaw.

See what others are saying: (Insider) (The Guardian) (ABC News)

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