- Joe Biden again swept in Tuesday’s primary elections, winning four of the six states holding primaries— including Michigan, which was considered essential for Bernie Sanders.
- Biden won by massive margins in multiple races and beat out Sanders in states he had previously won in 2016.
- With more key battleground states set to vote next Tuesday, Sander’s prospects look grim as Biden further solidifies his lead.
Biden Wins Big
Former Vice President Joe Biden continued his winning streak, picking up wins in four out of the six states that held primary elections Tuesday.
Riding the momentum of his huge Super Tuesday showing, Biden won the elections in Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, and Missouri.
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) took home a win in North Datoka. Washington State is currently too close to call.
While Biden was predicted to win many of those races, Sanders’ loss in Michigan is especially significant.
Michigan was largely viewed as the most important state in yesterday’s races, and an absolutely essential state for Sanders, because it had the most delegates to give: 125.
Sanders won Michigan in 2016 in a surprise win that set his campaign in motion and made for a competitive race against Hillary Clinton.
But Biden won the key swing state by more than double digits, taking 52.9% of the vote while Sanders won 36.4%— a pretty significant margin, especially in a state that Sanders won last time.
Results From Other Key States
Michigan was not the only state Sanders won in 2016 and lost on Tuesday. Biden also claimed a win in Idaho, though the margin was not as big.
Also of note is Washington State. While not all of the votes have been counted, the race is shockingly close. With 67% reporting, Sanders is only pulling ahead by 0.2%.
Though notably, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), who dropped out of the race last week, is polling at 12.3% in the state, likely due to the fact that Washington has a long early voting period and mail-in ballots.
While that certainly is hurting Sanders by taking away necessary progressive votes, the fact that this race is so close in a state he won with more than 70% of the vote in 2016 does not bode well.
Another factor that is concerning for the Sanders campaign is the drastic margins Biden won by in Mississippi and Missouri.
In Mississippi, Biden received more than 80% of the vote. Sanders failed to meet the 15% threshold required to receive delegates, meaning that he did not pick up any of the 36 delegates in the state.
Meanwhile in Missouri, Biden earned almost twice as many as Sanders. This marked another notable loss for Sanders, who just barely lost the state in 2016 to Clinton.
Biden Solidifies Lead, Sanders Faces Uphill Battle
It is clear that Biden is solidifying his lead in this election, an incredible shift for a campaign that was once considered dead in the water. Biden has now won 14 out of the 20 states that had primaries in the last week alone.
That, combined with the fact that he also won multiple states Sanders took in 2016, indicates Biden is gaining momentum that Sanders seems to be losing.
While the sheer number of states Biden has won is certainly positive for his momentum, at the end of the day, the amount of delegates a candidate wins is much more important than the number of states they win.
But Biden is also leading in that respect too. In fact, most experts predict that he will widen the delegate gap even more in the coming elections.
Four more major primaries are set for next Tuesday in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio, and 577 delegates are up for grabs.
Sanders lost all four of those states back in 2016— and some by big margins. Most polls show him losing them this time around too. After the elections next week, a little over 60% of total delegates will be allocated.
With the biggest delegates still up for grabs in states where Sanders has historically fared poorly, it is unclear what the senator’s path forward will look like.
Voter Turnout Problems for Sanders
Exit polls and turnout data from Tuesday’s elections also paint a grim picture for Sanders. The big question with Sanders has always been whether or not he can bring in voters from outside his usual base.
But based on results from Tuesday, it looks like his coalition has largely remained the same. While Sanders brought in the usual young and very liberal voters, Biden, by contrast, has consistently pulled in a much more diverse coalition.
According to exit polls, Biden’s victories were again fueled by black voters, along with women, older voters, and white voters with college degrees.
And while Sanders does traditionally do well with Latino voters, who composed a lot less of the voting population in those races, he continued to struggle with courting black voters.
For example, in Mississippi, Biden won nearly 90% of the black vote, according to exit polls.
Another big problem for Sanders is the youth vote. The Democratic Socialist has long been banking on the fact that he is wildly popular with younger voters, and has argued that he can win if they turn out— but they have not been turning out.
Young voter turnout has remained low in many of the major races. In fact, on Tuesday, turnout for voters aged 18 to 44 was lower than it was in 2016 in Mississippi, Missouri, and Michigan, despite the fact that overall turnout was higher in all three states.
That is especially notable for Michigan, where youth turnout largely pushed Sanders to his win in 2016, and arguably even more notable because, overall, voter turnout in Michigan was significantly higher than 2016.
According to recent estimates, 1.7 million people voted in Michigan’s Democratic primary Tuesday, compared to 1.2 million in 2016.
See what others are saying: (The Washington Post) (FiveThirtyEight.com) (NPR)
Feds Investigate Classified Files Found in Biden’s Former Office
The documents reportedly include U.S. intelligence memos and briefing materials that covered topics such as Ukraine, Iran, and the United Kingdom
What Was in the Files?
President Biden’s legal team discovered about 10 classified files in his former office at the Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement in Washington D.C., the White House revealed Monday.
The Department of Justice has concluded an initial inquiry into the matter and will determine whether to open a criminal investigation.
According to a source familiar with the matter who spoke to CNN, they include U.S. intelligence memos and briefing materials that covered topics such as Ukraine, Iran, and the United Kingdom.
A source also told CBS News the batch did not contain nuclear secrets and had been contained in a folder in a box with other unclassified papers.
The documents are reportedly from Biden’s time as vice president, but it remains unclear what level of classification they are and how they ended up in his office.
Biden kept an office in the. Penn Biden Center, a think tank about a mile from the White House, between 2017 and 2020, when he was elected president.
On Nov. 2, his lawyers claim, they discovered the documents as they were clearing out the space to vacate it.
They immediately notified the National Archives, which retrieved the files the next morning, according to the White House.
What Happens Next?
Attorney General Merrick Garland must decide whether to open a criminal investigation into Biden’s alleged mishandling of the documents. To that end, he appointed John Lausch Jr., the U.S. attorney in Chicago and a Trump appointee, to conduct an initial inquiry.
Garland reportedly picked him for the role despite him being in a different jurisdiction to avoid appearing partial.
Lausch has reportedly finished the initial part of his inquiry and provided a preliminary report to Garland.
If a criminal investigation is opened, Garland will likely appoint an independent special counsel to lead it.
The case mirrors a similar DoJ special counsel investigation into former President Donald Trump’s alleged mishandling of classified materials and obstruction of efforts to properly retrieve them.
On Nov. 18, Garland appointed Jack Smith to investigate over 300 classified documents found at Trump’s Florida residence, Mar-a-Lago.
Trump resisted multiple National Archives requests for the documents for months leading up to the FBI’s raid on his property, then handed over 15 boxes of files only for even more to be found still at Mar-a-Lago.
“When is the FBI going to raid the many houses of Joe Biden, perhaps even the White House?” Trump wrote on Truth Social Monday. “These documents were definitely not declassified.”
Rep. James Comer (R-KY), the new chairman of the House Oversight Committee, told reporters he will investigate the Biden files.
Republicans have been quick to pounce on the news and compare it to Trump’s classified files, but Democrats have pointed out differences in the small number of documents and Biden’s willingness to cooperate with the National Archives.
The White House has yet to explain why, if the files were first discovered six days before the midterm elections, the White House waited two months to reveal the news to the public.
See what others are saying: (CNN) (The New York Times) (BBC)
Lawmakers Propose Bill to Protect Fertility Treatments Amid Post-Roe Threats
The move comes as a number of states are considering anti-abortion bills that could threaten or ban fertility treatments by redefining embryos or fetuses as “unborn human beings” without exceptions for IVF.
The Right To Build Families Act of 2022
A group of Democratic lawmakers introduced a bill Thursday that would codify the right to use assisted reproductive technologies like in-vitro fertility (IVF) treatments into federal law.
The legislation, dubbed the Right To Build Families Act of 2022, was brought forward by Sens. Tammy Duckworth (D-Il) and Patty Murray (D-Wa.) alongside Rep. Susan Wild (D- Pa.). The measure would bar any limits on seeking or receiving IVF treatments and prohibit regulations on a person’s ability to retain their “reproductive genetic materials.”
The bill would also protect physicians who provide these reproductive services and allow the Justice Department to take civil action against any states that try to limit access to fertility treatments.
The lawmakers argue it is necessary to protect IVF because a number of states have been discussing and proposing legislation that could jeopardize or even ban access to the treatments in the wake of the Roe v. Wade reversal.
“IVF advocates in this country today are publicly telling us, ‘We need this kind of legislation to be able to protect this,’” Murray told HuffPost. “And here we are after the Dobbs decision where states are enacting laws and we have [anti-abortion] advocates who are now starting to talk, especially behind closed doors, about stopping the right for women and men to have IVF procedures done.”
Fertility Treatments Under Treat
The state-level efforts in question are being proposed by Republican lawmakers who wish to further limit abortions by redefining when life begins. Some of the proposals would define embryos or fetuses as “unborn human beings” without exceptions for those that are created through IVF, where an egg is fertilized by a sperm outside the body and then implanted in a uterus.
For example, a bill has already been pre-filed in Virginia for the 2023 legislative session that explicitly says life begins at fertilization and does not have any specific language that exempts embryos made through IVF.
Experts say these kinds of laws are concerning for a number of reasons. In the IVF process, it is typical to fertilize multiple eggs, but some are discarded. If a person becomes pregnant and does not want to keep the rest of their eggs. It is also normal that not all fertilized eggs will be viable, so physicians will get rid of those.
Sometimes doctors will also implant multiple fertilized eggs to increase the likelihood of pregnancy, but that can result in multiple eggs being fertilized. In order to prevent having multiple babies at once and improve the chance of a healthy pregnancy, people can get a fetal reduction and lower the number of fetuses.
All of those actions could become illegal under proposals that do not provide exemptions.
“In my case, I had five fertilized eggs, and we discarded three because they were not viable. That is now potentially manslaughter in some of these states,” said Duckworth, who had both of her daughters using IVF.
“I also have a fertilized egg that’s frozen. My husband and I haven’t decided what we will do with it, but the head of the Texas Right to Life organization that wrote the bounty law for Texas has come out and specifically said he’s going after IVF next, and he wants control of the embryos,” Duckworth added.
In a hearing after Roe was overturned, Murray also raised concerns about “whether parents and providers could be punished if an embryo doesn’t survive being thawed for implantation, or for disposing unused embryos.”
Experts have said that even if anti-abortion laws defining when life begins do provide exceptions, it would be contradictory and confusing, so providers would likely err on the side of caution and not provide services out of fear of prosecution.
“[Abortion bans] are forcing women to stay pregnant against their will and are, at the very same time, threatening Americans’ ability to build a family through services like IVF,” Murray said in a statement to Axios. “It’s hard to comprehend, and it’s just plain wrong.”
The federal legislation to combat these efforts faces an uphill battle. It is unlikely it will be passed in the last few days of lame duck session, and with control of Congress being handed to Republicans come January, movement in the lower chamber will be hard fought.
Duckworth, however, told Axios that she will keep introducing the legislation “until we can get it passed.”
Hundreds of Oath Keepers Claim to Be Current or Former DHS Employees
The revelation came just weeks after the militia’s founder, Stewart Rhodes, was convicted on seditious conspiracy charges for his involvement in the Jan. 6 insurrection.
An Agency Crawling With Extremists
Over 300 members of the far-right Oath Keepers militia group claim to be current or former employees at the Department of Homeland Security, the Project on Government Oversight (POGO) reported Monday.
The review appears to be the first significant public examination of the group’s leaked membership list to focus on the DHS.
The agencies implicated include Border Patrol, Coast Guard, Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and the Secret Service.
“I am currently a 20 year Special Agent with the United States Secret Service. I have been on President Clinton and President Bush’s protective detail. I was a member and instructor on the Presidential Protective Division’s Counter Assault Team (CAT),” one person on the list wrote.
POGO stated that the details he provided the Oath Keepers match those he made in a sworn affidavit filed in federal court.
The finding came just weeks after Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes was convicted on seditious conspiracy charges for his involvement in the Jan. 6 insurrection.
“Law enforcement agents who have associations with groups that seek to undermine democratic governance pose a heightened threat because they can compromise probes, misdirecting investigations or leaking confidential investigative information to those groups,” POGO said in its report.
In March, the DHS published an internal study finding that “the Department has significant gaps that have impeded its ability to comprehensively prevent, detect, and respond to potential threats related to domestic violent extremism within DHS.”
Some experts have suggested the DHS may be especially prone to extremist sentiments because of its role in policing immigration. In 2016, the ICE union officially endorsed then-candidate Donald Trump for president, making the first such endorsement in the agency’s history.
The U.S. Government has a White Supremacy Problem
Copious academic research and news reports have shown that far-right extremists have infiltrated local, state, and federal law enforcement agencies.
In May, a Reuters investigation found at least 15 self-identified law enforcement trainers and dozens of retired instructors listed in a database of Oath Keepers.
In 2019, Reveal from The Center for Investigative Reporting found that almost 400 current or former law enforcement officials belonged to Confederate, anti-Islam, misogynistic or anti-government militia Facebook groups.
The Pentagon has long struggled with its own extremism problem, which appears to have particularly festered in the wake of the U.S. invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan.
Nearly one in four active-duty service members said in a 2017 Military Times poll that they had observed white nationalism among the troops, and over 40% of non-white service members said the same.
The prevalence of racism in the armed forces is not surprising given that many of the top figures among right-wing extremist groups hailed from the military and those same groups are known to deliberately target disgruntled, returning veterans for recruitment.
Brandon Russell, the founder of the neo-Nazi group AtomWaffen, served in the military, as did George Lincoln Rockwell, commander of the American Nazi Party, Louis Beam, leader of the KKK, and Richard Butler, founder of the Aryan Nation.
In January, NPR reported that one in five people charged in federal or D.C. courts for their involvement in the Capitol insurrection were current or former military service members.