International
Netanyahu Projected to Win Israel’s Third Election in Under a Year
Published
2 years agoon
By
Lili Stenn
- Israel held its third election in less than a year. Prime Minister Netanyahu is expected to win, though his bloc of right-wing parties is still predicted to be short of a majority.
- The win is a massive victory for the embattled leader, who was indicted on corruption charges before the election, and who many believed was falling from power.
- There are still problems ahead: It’s unclear if Netanyahu can legally form a government because there is no precedent for an indicted sitting prime minister.
- With the prospect of a fourth election, leaders are determined to figure something out, but it’s uncertain if that will be enough to overcome the differences that have prevented them from forming a government the last three times.
Israel’s Third Election
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is projected to win the country’s third election in less than a year.
The election comes after the embattled leader failed twice before to form a coalition government, plunging Israel into political chaos.
Netanyahu’s repeated inability to form a government and the subsequent turmoil left many wondering if this was the end for the country’s longest-serving prime minister who has largely defined Israeli politics for the last two decades.
Netanyahu’s political future was further called into question in November when he was indicted for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust. The move marked the first time in Israel’s history a sitting prime minister had been indicted.
But the results of Monday’s election seem to point in the other direction. With 92% of votes counted, Netanyahu’s right-wing Likud Party came out on top, winning a total of 36 seats in Israel’s 120-seat Parliament.
Even more notably, the prime minister’s bloc of right-wing parties won a total of 59 seats— just two seats short of a majority.
Victory for Netanyahu
The win represents a huge victory for Netanyahu for several reasons.
First, out of all three elections, it marks the first time he won more seats his main rival, Benny Gantz. Gantz’s Blue and White Party won 32 seats, and his center-left bloc won a total of 54 seats.
Second, it indicates that Netanyahu’s base does not care that he has been indicted on corruption charges since the last time they voted for him. In fact, voter turn-out was actually the highest it has been for all three of the elections.
And third, it shows Netanyahu’s incredible staying power and stronghold on Israeli politics.
Speaking Monday night, the prime minister called the election outcome the “biggest win” of his life, and a “victory against all odds.”
“They eulogized us, they said it’s the end of the Netanyahu era,” he said. “But we turned everything upside down.”
Legal Precedent
This is clearly a big win for Netanyahu, but his problems are far from over.
Because a sitting prime minister has never been indicted, the whole situation is entirely unprecedented. As a result, it’s unclear if Israel’s president can even legally ask Netanyahu to lead his party in trying to form a government.
To that point, Israel’s Supreme Court avoided ruling on that question back in January, probably because they hoped the election would solve their problem.
Now, it’s almost certain that the highest court will be asked to make the difficult decision to either stop an elected official from taking power or allow a leader accused of bribery and fraud to form a government.
The timing here is also important. Netanyahu’s hearing is set to happen in two weeks, and if convicted, a whole other set of problems could arise.
Numbers Game
Even if he is allowed to form a government, the question that has ultimately caused him to fail each time still remains: can he get a majority?
While Netanyahu won more seats this time around than in the past elections, his right-wing bloc did not. In the first election, the group of right-wing parties won 60 seats, and they were still unable to form a 61-seat majority.
Despite the fact that different parties have won different seats in the last few elections, many of the same problems still remain, which, if unresolved, could lead to a fourth election.
But on the other side, no one wants another election— or at least they do not want to be blamed for it.
The prospect of a fourth election might provide more incentive for the parties to try to figure something out, but it is uncertain if it will be enough to reconcile differences that have prevented a government from being formed three times already.
See what others are saying: (The New York Times) (Al Jazeera) (Haaretz)
International
Russia Takes Over 900 Azovstal Fighters Prisoner as Mariupol Surrenders
Published
3 days agoon
May 18, 2022By
Chris Tolve
Ukraine said the soldiers successfully completed their mission, but the fall of Mariupol represents a strategic win for Putin.
Azovstal Waves the White Flag
Russia’s foreign ministry announced on Wednesday that it had captured 959 Ukrainians from the Azovstal steelworks, where besieged soldiers have maintained the last pocket of resistance in Mariupol for weeks.
A ministry spokesperson said in a statement that 51 were being treated for injuries, and the rest were sent to a former prison colony in the town of Olenivka in a Russian-controlled area of Donetsk.
The defense ministry released videos of what it claimed were Ukrainian fighters receiving care at a hospital in the Russian-controlled town of Novoazovsk. In one, a soldier tells the camera he is being treated “normally” and that he is not being psychologically pressured, though it is unclear whether he is speaking freely.
It was unclear if any Ukrainians remained in Azovstal, but Denis Pushilin, the head of the self-proclaimed republic of Donetsk, said in a statement Wednesday that the “commanders of the highest level” were still hiding in the plant.
Previously, estimates put the number of soldiers inside Azovstal around 1,000.
Ukraine officially gave up Mariupol on Monday, when the first Azovstal fighters began surrendering.
Reuters filmed dozens of wounded Ukrainians being driven away in buses marked with the Russian pro-war “Z” symbol.
Ukraine’s deputy defense minister said in a Tuesday statement that the Ukrainian prisoners would be swapped in an exchange for captured Russians. But numerous Russian officials have signaled that the Ukrainian soldiers should be tried.
Mariupol Falls into Russian Hands
After nearly three months of bombardment that left Mariupol in ruins, Russia’s combat mission in the city has ended.
The sprawling complex of underground tunnels, caverns, and bunkers beneath Azovstal provided a defensible position for the Ukrainians there, and they came to represent the country’s resolve in the face of Russian aggression for many spectators.
Earlier this month, women, children, and the elderly were evacuated from the plant.
The definitive capture of Mariupol, a strategic port city, is a loss for Ukraine and a boon for Russia, which can now establish a land bridge between Crimea and parts of Eastern Ukraine controlled by Russian separatists. The development could also free up Russian troops around Mariupol to advance on the East, while additional reinforcements near Kharkiv descend from the north, potentially cutting off Ukrainian forces from the rest of the country.
The Ukrainian military has framed events in Mariupol as at least a partial success, arguing that the defenders of Azovstal completed their mission by tying down Russian troops and resources in the city and giving Ukrainians elsewhere more breathing room.
It claimed that doing so prevented Russia from rapidly capturing the city of Zaporizhzhia further to the west.
See what others are saying: (The Guardian) (BBC) (BBC)
International
Convoy of Up to 1,000 Vehicles Evacuates Refugees From Mariupol as Russian War Effort Stalls
Published
5 days agoon
May 16, 2022By
Chris Tolve
Russia may have lost a third of its ground invasion force since the war began, according to British military intelligence.
Hundreds Make It Out Alive
A convoy of between 500 and 1,000 vehicles evacuating refugees from the southern port city of Mariupol arrived safely in the Ukrainian-controlled city of Zaporizhzhia on Saturday.
People have been trickling out of Mariupol for over two months, but the recent evacuation was the single biggest out of the city thus far. Russian troops, who control most of the city, did not allow the convoy to leave for days, but eventually, they relented.
The convoy first traveled to Berbyansky some 80 kilometers to the west, then stopped at other settlements before driving 200 kilometers northwest to Zaporizhzhia. Many refugees told reporters they took “secret detours” to avoid Russian checkpoints and feared every moment of the journey.
Nikolai Pavlov, a 74-year-old retiree, told Reuters he had lived in a basement for a month after his apartment was destroyed.
“We barely made it,” he said. “There were lots of elderly people among us… the trip was devastating. But it was worth it.”
63-year-old Iryna Petrenko also said she had stayed in Mariupol initially to take care of her 92-year-old mother, who subsequently died.
“We buried her next to her house, because there was nowhere to bury anyone,” she said.
Putin’s Plans Go Poorly
In Mariupol, Ukrainian fighters continue to hold the Azovstal steelworks, the only part of the city still under Ukrainian control.
On Sunday, a video emerged appearing to show a hail of projectiles bursting into white, brightly burning munitions over the factory.
The pro-Russian separatist who posted it on Telegram wrote, “If you didn’t know what it is and for what purpose – you could say that it’s even beautiful.”
Turkey is trying to negotiate an evacuation of wounded Ukrainians from the factory, but neither Russia nor Ukraine have agreed to any plan.
After nearly three months of war, Mariupol has been left in ruins, with thousands of civilians reportedly dead.
“In less than 3 month, Mariupol, one of Ukraine’s fastest developing & comfortable cities, was reduced into a heap of charred ruins smelling death, with thousands of people standing in long breadlines and selling their properties out to buy some food. Less than three months,” Illia Ponomarenko, a reporter for The Kyiv Independent, tweeted.
In less than 3 month, Mariupol, one of Ukraine’s fastest developing & comfortable cities, was reduced into a heap of charred ruins smelling death, with thousands of people standing in long breadlines and selling their properties out to buy some food.
— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) May 15, 2022
Less than 3 months.
On Sunday, the United Kingdom’s defense ministry estimated that Russia has likely lost a third of its ground invasion forces since the war began.
Moscow is believed to have deployed as many as 150,000 troops in Ukraine.
The ministry added that Russian forces in Eastern Ukraine have “lost momentum” and are “significantly behind schedule.” Moreover, it said Russia failed to achieve substantial territorial gains over the last month while sustaining “consistently high levels of attrition.”
“Under the current conditions, Russia is unlikely to dramatically accelerate its rate of advance over the next 30 days,” the ministry concluded.
Sweden also signaled on Sunday that it will join Finland in applying for NATO membership.
See what others are saying: (The Daily Beast) (U.S. News and World Report) (The Hill)
International
Israel Moves to Build Over 4,000 West Bank Settlements as Palestinian Homes Demolished
Published
1 week agoon
May 12, 2022By
Chris Tolve
The Israeli military is proceeding with a plan to evict at least 1,000 Palestinians from the West Bank.
Settlers Get Ready to Move in
On Thursday, a military planning body in the Israeli-occupied West Bank approved the construction of 4,427 housing units, according to the watchdog group Peace Now.
“The State of Israel took another stumble toward the abyss and further deepened the occupation,” Hagit Ofran, an expert at Peace Now, said via the Associated Press.
The plan is the largest advancement of settlement projects since President Joe Biden took office in the United States.
The U.S. opposes settlement expansion and said as much when the plan was first announced last week, but critics say Washington has done little to pressure Israel to stop.
In a statement, U.N. Mideast envoy Tor Wennesland called the settlements a “major obstacle to peace.”
“Continued settlement expansion further entrenches the occupation, encroaches upon Palestinian land and natural resources, and hampers the free movement of the Palestinian population,” he said.
In October, Israel approved some 3,000 settlement homes despite a U.S. rebuke. There are currently over 130 Israeli settlements in the West Bank harboring almost 500,000 settlers, in addition to the nearly three million Palestinians living in the territory.
Palestinians Pushed Off Their Land
On Wednesday, the same day Israeli soldiers allegedly shot and killed Al-Jazeera journalist Shireen Abu Akleh, the military demolished at least 18 buildings in the West Bank, including 12 residential ones.
Israel’s supreme court has also ruled that eight Palestinian hamlets can be expelled, potentially leaving at least 1,000 Palestinians homeless.
The area targeted is known as the Masafer Yatta, and its residents say they have been herding animals and practicing traditional desert agriculture there for decades, long before Israel took over the West Bank in 1967. Israel, however, claims there were no permanent structures there before the military designated it a firing zone in the 1980s
“What’s happening now is ethnic cleansing,” Sami Huraini, an activist and a resident of the area, told the Associated Press. “The people are staying on their land and have already started to rebuild.”
See what others are saying: (Associated Press) (Peace Now) (Associated Press)

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