- Republican candidate Dan Bishop beat Democrat Dan McCready in a competitive special election race for North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District.
- The election comes after an election fraud scandal in the 2018 midterms, where a man hired by the Republican candidate was found to have illegally collected and in some cases filled out absentee ballots.
- The scandal prompted the state’s Board of Elections to throw out the results of the 2018 midterm election, which Harris had won by 905 votes.
North Carolina’s 9th District
Republican Dan Bishop narrowly won a special congressional election in North Carolina’s 9th District Tuesday, marking the end of a race marred by scandal.
With all precincts reporting, Bishop won 50.74% of the vote while his Democratic opponent Dan McCready won 48.66%, according to the official results from the state elections board. Bishop won by 3,937 votes out of 189,363 votes cast.
The election closes the book on a nearly 10-month long process to choose a representative for the district. This after the discovery of a massive election fraud scheme prompted the state’s Board of Elections to throw out the results of the 2018 midterm and call for a new election to be held.
During the first election in November, Republican Mark Harris appeared to beat Democrat Dan McCready by only 905 votes. Just 0.3% of the vote in a district where about 280,000 votes were cast.
However, the North Carolina State Board of Elections, which consisted of four Democrats, four Republicans, and one Independent, voted unanimously not to certify Harris as the winner and launched an investigation into the election.
Investigation & Hearing
At first, the public was not told the reason for the investigation.
Then, local media outlets discovered that Harris had hired a man for his campaign named McCrae Dowless.
Dowless had directed people to illegally collect absentee ballots, falsify absentee witness certifications, and even at times fill out absentee ballots for voters in rural Bladen County, parts of which are in the 9th District.
According to reports and interviews with people who worked for Dowless, he had basically set up a functional mill of people he directed to commit massive election fraud. Some of his employees were reportedly members of his own family, and some were high on opioids while they were at work.
Harris, for his part, later confirmed that he had hired Dowless to do what Dowless had told him was pretty standard voter outreach, but that he was not aware of the coordinated illegal scheme Dowless was running.
Fast forward to February when a new election board of three Democrats and two Republicans was convened and held a multi-day evidentiary hearing to decide whether to certify the election or call for new elections.
Notably, at that hearing, Harris’ son gave surprise testimony, and told the board that he had sent his dad emails warning him not to hire Dowless.
Harris’ son said he sent the emails after he found that Dowless had run the absentee campaign in a 2016 congressional race where there had been recorded absentee voting irregularities in Bladen County.
With the information that Harris had, in fact, been warned by his own son about Dowless’ questionable tactics, Harris told the board to call for a new election, and the board agreed, voting unanimously to do so.
Shortly after that decision was announced, Dowless was arrested and indicted on seven counts, and the FBI launched its own investigation into the election fraud.
McCready chose to stay in the race, but Harris decided to drop out. Republicans chose Bishop, a state senator who ran as a close ally of President Donald Trump. Trump himself held a rally for Bishop Monday, the day before the special election was set to take place.
In a victory speech last night, Bishop thanked Trump for supporting him and said his win was a “first step toward taking back the House of Representatives in 2020.”
“I hope the Democrats in Washington are watching this incredible victory and realize what they’re doing is not working,” Bishop continued. “Let’s hope they see this as an opportunity to stop playing presidential politics and come to the table to work with us and work with this president.”
McCready, who now has been campaigning for 27 months, conceded the election in a speech Tuesday night.
“The people of North Carolina stood up, and we faced down the full force of election fraud and voter suppression,” he said.
“When the people in power . . . perpetrated the largest case of election fraud in recent American history, we fought back, and we won. We were not successful tonight, but I want you to remember that victory postponed is not defeat.”
Trump also chimed in, celebrating the win on Twitter.
“Dan Bishop was down 17 points 3 weeks ago. He then asked me for help, we changed his strategy together, and he ran a great race. Big Rally last night. Now it looks like he is going to win,” he wrote, later referring to the victory as a “big night for the Republican Party.”
However, as NPR pointed out, there were no public or private polls that showed Bishop behind by 17 points, and both parties have said that the race was very close throughout the whole process.
Potential Implications for 2020
Many have noted that the closeness of the race is actually concerning for Republicans, who have held the congressional seat in District 9 for more than 50 years since 1962.
Some have also argued the 2% margin should be especially concerning for Trump, who won District 9 easily by 12% in 2016.
According to the election results, McCready performed better in the district’s suburbs than he did in the last race. A fact that numerous experts have argued shows the growing shift away from Trump and the GOP among suburban voters, who largely drove the Democratic victory in the 2018 midterms that lead the Democrats to flip the House.
Now, many Democratic leaders and pollsters say that is a good sign for Democrats, especially because District 9 is historically conservative.
As Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairwoman Cheri Bustos told NPR, District 9 is a far more conservative seat than most of the seats Democrats flipped in 2018.
“There are 34 Republican-held districts that are more favorable to Democrats than North Carolina’s Ninth,” she said.
“Tonight’s razor-thin result in this ruby-red district solidifies the fact that Democrats are pushing further into Republican strongholds and are in a commanding position to protect and expand our House Majority in 2020.”
On the other side, McCready actually lost ground in some rural areas compared to last race, which experts have said shows that Trump and Republicans have not lost their strongholds in rural areas.
National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Emmer said in a statement that Bishop’s victory shows that the GOP’s messaging in the 2020 cycle is working so far.
“North Carolinians rejected the Democrats’ socialist agenda and elected a representative who will defend North Carolina values, and will always fight for freedom and against socialism,” he said.
Regardless of the implications for 2020, the approximately 778,000 people of North Carolina’s 9th District now have a someone to represent them in Congress for the first time in almost a year.
See what others are saying: (NPR) (The Charlotte Observer) (The Washington Post)
Jan. 6 Committee Prepares Criminal Charges Against Steve Bannon for Ignoring Subpoena
The move comes after former President Trump told several of his previous aides not to cooperate with the committee’s investigation into the insurrection.
Bannon Refuses to Comply With Subpoena
The House committee investigating the Jan. 6 insurrection announced Thursday that it is seeking to hold former White House advisor Steve Bannon in criminal contempt for refusing to comply with a subpoena.
The decision marks a significant escalation in the panel’s efforts to force officials under former President Donald Trump’s administration to comply with its probe amid Trump’s growing efforts to obstruct the inquiry.
In recent weeks, the former president has launched a number of attempts to block the panel from getting key documents, testimonies, and other evidence requested by the committee that he claims are protected by executive privilege.
Notably, some of those assertions have been shut down. On Friday, President Joe Biden rejected Trump’s effort to withhold documents relating to the insurrection.
Still, Trump has also directed former officials in his administration not to comply with subpoenas or cooperate with the committee.
That demand came after the panel issued subpoenas ordering depositions from Bannon and three other former officials: Chief of Staff Mark Meadows, Deputy Chief of Staff Dan Scavino, and Pentagon Chief of Staff Kash Patel.
After Trump issued his demand, Bannon’s lawyer announced that he would not obey the subpoena until the panel reached an agreement with Trump or a court ruled on the executive privilege matter.
Many legal experts have questioned whether Bannon, who left the White House in 2017, can claim executive privilege for something that happened when he was not working for the executive.
Panel Intensifies Compliance Efforts
The Thursday decision from the committee is significant because it will likely set up a legal battle and test how much authority the committee can and will exercise in requiring compliance.
It also sets an important precedent for those who have been subpoenaed. While Bannon is the first former official to openly defy the committee, there have been reports that others plan to do the same.
The panel previously said Patel and Meadows were “engaging” with investigators, but on Thursday, several outlets reported that the two — who were supposed to appear before the body on Thursday and Friday respectively — are now expected to be given an extension or continuance.
Sources told reporters that Scavino, who was also asked to testify Friday, has had his deposition postponed because service of his subpoena was delayed.
As far as what happens next for Bannon, the committee will vote to adopt the contempt report next week. Once that is complete, the matter will go before the House for a full vote.
Assuming the Democratic-held House approves the contempt charge, it will then get referred to the U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia to bring the matter before a grand jury.
See what others are saying: (CNN) (The Washington Post) (Bloomberg)
Senate Votes To Extend Debt Ceiling Until December
The move adds another deadline to Dec. 3, which is also when the federal government is set to shut down unless Congress approves new spending.
Debt Ceiling Raised Temporarily
The Senate voted on Thursday to extend the debt ceiling until December, temporarily averting a fiscal catastrophe.
The move, which followed weeks of stalemate due to Republican objections, came after Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) partially backed down from his blockade and offered a short-term proposal.
After much whipping of votes, 11 Republicans joined Democrats to break the legislative filibuster and move to final approval of the measure. The bill ultimately passed in a vote of 50-48 without any Republican support.
The legislation will now head to the House, where Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said members would be called back from their current recess for a vote on Tuesday.
The White House said President Joe Biden would sign the measure, but urged Congress to pass a longer extension.
“We cannot allow partisan politics to hold our economy hostage, and we can’t allow the routine process of paying our bills to turn into a confidence-shaking political showdown every two years or every two months,’’ White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki said in a statement.
Under the current bill, the nation’s borrowing limit will be increased by $480 billion, which the Treasury Department said will cover federal borrowing until around Dec. 3.
The agency had previously warned that it would run out of money by Oct. 18 if Congress failed to act. Such a move would have a chilling impact on the economy, forcing the U.S. to default on its debts and potentially plunging the country into a recession.
Major Hurdles Remain
While the legislation extending the ceiling will certainly offer temporary relief, it sets up another perilous deadline for the first Friday in December, when government funding is also set to expire if Congress does not approve another spending bill.
Regardless of the new deadline, many of the same hurdles lawmakers faced the first time around remain.
Democrats are still struggling to hammer out the final details of Biden’s $3.5 trillion spending agenda, which Republicans have strongly opposed.
Notably, Democratic leaders previously said they could pass the bill through budget reconciliation, which would allow them to approve the measure with 50 votes and no Republican support.
Such a move would require all 50 Senators, but intraparty disputes remain over objections brought by Joe Manchin (D-W.V.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Az.), who have been stalling the process for months.
Although disagreements over reconciliation are ongoing among Democrats, McConnell has insisted the party use the obscure procedural process to raise the debt limit. Democrats, however, have balked at the idea, arguing that tying the debt ceiling to reconciliation would set a dangerous precedent.
Despite Republican efforts to connect the limit to Biden’s economic agenda, raising the ceiling is not the same as adopting new spending. Rather, the limit is increased to pay off spending that has already been authorized by previous sessions of Congress and past administrations.
In fact, much of the current debt stems from policies passed by Republicans during the Trump administration, including the 2017 tax overhaul.
As a result, while Democrats have signaled they may make concessions to Manchin and Sinema, they strongly believe that Republicans must join them to increase the debt ceiling to fund projects their party supported.
It is currently unclear when or how the ongoing stalemate will be resolved, or how either party will overcome their fervent objections.
See what others are saying: (The New York Times) (NPR) (The Washington Post)
California Makes Universal Voting by Mail Permanent
California is now the eighth state to make universal mail-in ballots permanent after it temporarily adopted the policy for elections held amid the COVID-19 pandemic.
CA Approves Universal Voting by Mail
California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) signed a bill Monday requiring every registered voter in the state to be mailed a ballot at least 29 days before an election, whether they request it or not.
Assembly Bill 37 makes permanent a practice that was temporarily adopted for elections during the COVID-19 pandemic. The law, which officially takes effect in January, also extends the time mail ballots have to arrive at elections offices from three days to seven days after an election. Voters can still choose to cast their vote in person if they prefer.
Supporters of the policy have cheered the move, arguing that proactively sending ballots to registered voters increases turnout.
“Data shows that sending everyone a ballot in the mail provides voters access. And when voters get ballots in the mail, they vote,” the bill’s author, Assemblyman Marc Berman (D-Palo Alto), said during a Senate committee hearing in July.
Meanwhile opponents — mostly Republicans — have long cast doubts about the safety of mail-in voting, despite a lack of evidence to support their claims that it leads to widespread voter fraud. That strategy, however, has also faced notable pushback from some that a lot of Republicans who say it can actually hurt GOP turnout.
Others May Follow
The new legislation probably isn’t too surprising for California, where over 50% of votes cast in general elections have been through mail ballots since 2012, according to The Sacramento Bee. Now, many believe California will be followed by similar legislation from Democrats across the country as more Republican leaders move forward with elections bills that significantly limit voting access.
Newsome signed 10 other measures Monday changing election and campaign procedures, including a bill that would require anyone advocating for or against a candidate to stand farther away from a polling place. Another bill increases penalties for candidates who use campaign funds for personal expenses while a third measure increases reporting requirements for limited liability corporations that engage in campaign activity.
“As states across our country continue to enact undemocratic voter suppression laws, California is increasing voter access, expanding voting options and bolstering elections integrity and transparency,” Newsom said in a statement.
“Last year we took unprecedented steps to ensure all voters had the opportunity to cast a ballot during the pandemic and today we are making those measures permanent after record-breaking participation in the 2020 presidential election.”
The news regarding California came just in time for National Voter Registration day today, giving Americans another reminder to make sure they’re registered in their states. For more information on how to register, visit Vote.gov or any of the other resources linked below.